Who the markets say wins the 2028 presidential election
Polymarket lists the winner of the 2028 US presidential election, with a contract for each candidate. At 11:38 UTC on 11 October 2026, Polymarket priced JD Vance at 17.8¢.
Presidential Election Winner 2028: prices at 11:38 UTC
Polymarket: Presidential Election Winner 2028, closes 8 Nov 2028.
| Outcome | Polymarket |
|---|---|
| JD Vance | 17.8¢ |
| Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez | 13.2¢ |
| Jon Ossoff | 10.2¢ |
| Gavin Newsom | 9.1¢ |
| Marco Rubio | 8¢ |
| Kamala Harris | 4.6¢ |
| Josh Shapiro | 3¢ |
| Pete Buttigieg | 2.8¢ |
| Ron DeSantis | 2.3¢ |
| Dwayne 'The Rock' Johnson | 1.8¢ |
| Andy Beshear | 1.7¢ |
| Tucker Carlson | 1.7¢ |
How each venue resolves it
Polymarket's market description:
The 2028 US Presidential Election is scheduled to take place on November 7, 2028.
This market will resolve to the person who wins the 2028 US Presidential Election.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race for the same candidate by the inauguration date (January 20, 2029) this market will resolve based on who is inaugurated.
What a trade costs
Both venues charge a fee that is largest near 50¢ and shrinks toward 1¢ and 99¢. The exact rates, by category, are on our Kalshi fees and Polymarket fees pages, and whether you can trade at all depends on your state.
About these prices
Prices are the last traded price on Kalshi's public market API and the displayed price on Polymarket's Gamma API, both read at 11:38 UTC on 11 October 2026. They move all day; open the market on the venue for the price now.
