HOME / MARKETS
15 PAGESREBUILT FROM THE VENUES’ APIS
What each market actually resolves on
The rule each recurring market settles on, quoted from the contract terms, and the price each venue showed when we last read it. Every price carries the minute it was read.
MACRORULES 7 OCT 2026
Fed decision contracts: what they resolve onKalshi's Fed markets settle on the upper bound of the target range as the Federal Reserve publishes it, not on the dot plot. The exact rule, the clock, and how Polymarket's version differs.
SOURCE: FEDERAL RESERVE
CRYPTORULES 7 OCT 2026
Bitcoin price contracts: which index, which secondKalshi settles Bitcoin markets on a 60-second average of the CF Benchmarks BRTI; Polymarket uses a single Binance candle close. Why the same question can resolve differently, quoted from each venue's rules.
SOURCE: CF BENCHMARKS BRTI
MACRORULES 7 OCT 2026
CPI contracts: headline, core and revisionsKalshi's CPI markets settle on the seasonally adjusted one-month change in headline CPI-U, to one decimal, as first published. Core is a separate series, and later BLS revisions are ignored.
SOURCE: BLS RELEASE
ELECTIONSPRICES 11 OCT 2026
2026 midterm odds: House and Senate on Kalshi and PolymarketParty control of the House and Senate after the 2026 midterms, priced on Kalshi and Polymarket side by side, with the rule each market settles on.
SOURCE: KALSHI · POLYMARKET
SPORTSPRICES 11 OCT 2026
Super Bowl odds on Kalshi and Polymarket, team by teamThe pro football championship priced on Kalshi and Polymarket for every team, side by side, with the rule each market settles on.
SOURCE: KALSHI · POLYMARKET
SPORTSPRICES 11 OCT 2026
NBA championship odds on Kalshi and PolymarketThe next NBA champion priced on Kalshi and Polymarket for every team, side by side, with the rule each market settles on.
SOURCE: KALSHI · POLYMARKET
ELECTIONSPRICES 11 OCT 2026
2028 Democratic nominee odds on Kalshi and PolymarketThe 2028 Democratic presidential nominee priced on Kalshi and Polymarket, candidate by candidate, with the rule each market settles on.
SOURCE: KALSHI · POLYMARKET
ELECTIONSPRICES 11 OCT 2026
2028 presidential election odds on PolymarketThe 2028 US presidential election winner priced on Polymarket, candidate by candidate, with the rule the market settles on.
SOURCE: POLYMARKET
MACROPRICES 11 OCT 2026
US recession odds on Kalshi and Polymarket, and why they differKalshi and Polymarket both price a US recession in 2026, on different rules. The prices side by side and each rule quoted.
SOURCE: KALSHI · POLYMARKET
POLITICSPRICES 11 OCT 2026
Zohran Mamdani markets on Polymarket: every open questionEvery open Polymarket market about New York City Mayor Zohran Mamdani, with its price and closing date, read from Polymarket’s public API.
SOURCE: POLYMARKET
SPORTSPRICES 11 OCT 2026
NFL prediction markets: Kalshi and Polymarket game oddsThe favourite and its price on Kalshi and Polymarket for the next NFL games, read from both venues' public APIs at 11:38 UTC on 11 October 2026, with the rule each game market settles on.
SOURCE: KALSHI · POLYMARKET
ELECTIONSPRICES 11 OCT 2026
2026 Senate race odds: every state on Kalshi and PolymarketThe favourite in each 2026 Senate race and its price on Kalshi and Polymarket, read from both venues' APIs, with the rule each market settles on.
SOURCE: KALSHI · POLYMARKET
ELECTIONSPRICES 11 OCT 2026
2026 Governor race odds: every state on Kalshi and PolymarketThe favourite in each 2026 governor race and its price on Kalshi and Polymarket, read from both venues' APIs, with the rule each market settles on.
SOURCE: KALSHI · POLYMARKET
ELECTIONSPRICES 11 OCT 2026
Election prediction markets: midterms, 2028 and the odds nowThe election markets Kalshi and Polymarket list now, from the 2026 midterms to the 2028 nominations, each with prices read from the venue and the rule it settles on.
SOURCE: KALSHI · POLYMARKET
POLITICSPRICES 7 OCT 2026
PredictIt markets: all 201 open markets and their favouritesAll 201 markets open on PredictIt, each with its leading contract and last traded price, read from PredictIt’s own market data feed.
SOURCE: PREDICTIT FEED
Elections and sports are in
Election and game markets are listed with both venues’ prices. Whether you can trade them depends on your state.
ADVERTISEMENTLeaderboard · 970×90